Ukrainian Partisan Warfare - The Russians may face a major guerrilla war in Ukraine, as Kiev says it plans to launch a coordinated campaign.

Iryna Sergeeva, a volunteer fighter of the Ground Defense Forces of Ukraine, takes part in a military training exercise in Kiev on March 11.

Ukrainian Partisan Warfare

Ukrainian Partisan Warfare

Iryna Sergeeva, a volunteer fighter of the Ground Defense Forces of Ukraine, takes part in a military training exercise in Kiev on March 11. Sergey Supinsky/AFP via Getty Images

U.s. Public Views Of Russian Invasion Of Ukraine And Biden's Response

If it's not clear yet: Ukraine's armed forces are following the expected playbook. They were to be defeated within days of the February 24 invasion, as falsely indicated by the Russian victory declaration. On the day of the invasion, German Finance Minister Christian Lindner told the Ukrainian ambassador who asked for help that everything would be over in a few hours. Instead, the war is in its second month, and a Russian victory seems more distant than ever.

After their country was invaded and a brutal regime installed, Ukrainians must turn to a one-sided war that will turn into a long and bitter war for Russia. Yet the Ukrainians did not listen. Rather than wait for their defeat, they say they plan to launch a coordinated guerrilla offensive in the next few weeks - parallel to the regular war and just as the forest turns green for cover in the spring. The head of Ukraine's military intelligence, General Krylo Budanov, declared at the end of March, "The entire safari period of Ukrainian guerrillas will begin soon." "Then there will be a relevant scenario for the Russians: how to survive."

According to reports, disorganized civil resistance has already taken place, so the guerrilla campaign announced by Budanov will not start from scratch. According to a report on March 18, in northern Poltava province, game hunters seized more than 10 tanks and other vehicles and pursued the retreating Russians. In early March, guerrillas reported destroying a truck convoy near Kharkiv. Elsewhere, on March 11, villagers reportedly helped police arrest 29 Russian soldiers.

Civilians also play a role in capturing weapons, equipment and supplies from the enemy and handing them over to Ukrainian forces. On March 23, Ukraine's General Staff released a video of a cargo truck capturing Ukrainian civilians at an undisclosed location. In another incident, a group of civilians apparently captured a Russian T-80 tank that had been left in the mud. According to a civilian in the video, he learns to fly the T-80 with instructions found by Google.

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In addition to this, peaceful resistance in the form of demonstrations and protests is held almost every day in the cities of Kherson, Melitopol and Enhrudar under the control of Russia. Residents of Kiev and other insecure cities are busy preparing Molotov cocktails for the invading Russians.

By far, the most significant civilian contribution to the war has been in the Territorial Defense Forces, an all-volunteer militia under the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Ukrainian civilians began preparing for an unprecedented war in the weeks leading up to the invasion, but additional units of the local defense forces have reportedly been added to bolster Ukraine's fighting strength. The duties of this civilian militia are to protect important institutions, support regular armed forces and fight against subversives and spies. At the beginning of the war and in the first days of the war, about 100,000 volunteers and 37,000 reserves had already joined.

Civilians who recently joined the militia are already active as snipers on the outskirts of Kyiv. A Ukrainian-Canadian resident outside Kyiv described one of the actions his unit was involved in: "We organized night patrols after several missing Russian soldiers were captured in the area last week. Ukrainian The troops [their armored vehicles] came. There was an explosion and then they hid. For three or four days the forest, the Russians asked for food and water.

Ukrainian Partisan Warfare

Local defense forces are formally separate from guerrilla or guerrilla resistance movements, which may still be nascent and in the process of formation. Details are sketchy, but Ukraine's military doctrine sees the country's special operations forces, whose members are highly trained in irregular warfare, "playing a leading role in organizing, preparing, supporting and conducting the resistance movement." They have created a virtual National Resistance Center, which provides detailed instructions for partisan activities, including how to attack, respond to chemical attacks, and organize peaceful resistance. According to information on the center's website: "In order for the attacker to be feared as an invisible avenger, it is necessary to understand tactics, drugs, Internet security, home weapons and illegal activities."

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The Center also published a handbook on civil resistance that advises on weakening occupiers and subversives, including the various forms of passive resistance and active resistance. The book also advises how regular citizens can help the resistance movement by providing food, shelter and medicine. A video warns potential saboteurs that they will need to lead a double life among their friends and relatives, feigning loyalty to the Russians while undermining their authority. While the Internet is not a substitute for hands-on training, it differs little from historical examples of guerrilla warfare, where goals and methods were transmitted through pamphlets, pamphlets, and word of mouth. Today, websites can do the trick easily and efficiently.

Guerrillas and guerrillas around the world are largely made up of villagers and other villagers who know the terrain well, can operate with hit-and-run tactics, and can keep attackers off balance in unexpected places. This will be the same in Ukraine - especially since the Russians have not proven to capture the major cities of Ukraine, where urban guerrillas will play their role. Ukrainian hunting can make a particularly big part, as hunting is a popular sport in western and northern Ukraine, where the terrain is a mix of forests, deserts and mountains. Although Ukraine has less than 9.9 civilian firearms per 100 citizens, these firearms are mainly in rural areas. During this time, the number of weapons has clearly increased: immediately after the attack, about 20,000 weapons were distributed to warehouses in Kyiv in preparation for a possible attack on the capital, and weapons were also distributed to other regions. done

Many elements of effective guerrilla warfare are embedded in this approach. The only thing missing is friendly terrain, but when the forests and meadows are green, as they will be in April, they will give the guerrillas a good chance. At this point, fighters will be able to systematically enter Russian-occupied territory - especially in the forested north - and target Russian troops from behind while regular Ukrainian forces attack from the front. attacks

Eastern and southern Ukraine, however, have mostly green and treeless plains, unsuitable for traditional peasant guerrilla warfare. But cities and villages under Russian occupation are being overrun by local defense forces, urban saboteurs and guerrillas targeting troops, Russguardia occupation police and local collaborators.

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The center also published a handbook on civil resistance that includes advice on ways to undermine occupiers and sabotage.

It is the forests of the north where Russian troops, supply trucks, weapons and logistics are likely to be particularly attractive targets. There, Russian forces and supplies travel along major roads, avoiding unbroken, difficult-to-navigate, and often protected and vast countryside. Such tactics are an open invitation to guerrilla attacks, as the history of guerrilla warfare shows. Many Ukrainians will remember their country's history during World War II, when Soviet Ukrainian nationalists and partisans controlled the forests, deserts, and mountains of western and northern Ukraine, while urban guerrillas raged in the cities. German occupation forces were harassed. Even after the Soviets ousted the Germans as masters of Ukraine in 1944, nationalist parties managed to continue fighting for another decade, according to Ukrainian historian Ivan Petrylik, more than 30,000 Soviet secret police. And killed the officials.

This history is important because western Ukraine has become famous for nationalist guerrillas and their struggle for independence. Similarly, Eastern Ukrainians respected the anti-German parties, thanks to the Soviet culture of World War II. Therefore, joining the guerrillas today is a long-term commitment, allowing participants to consciously join a long tradition of resistance to totalitarianism. Guerrillas take a lot of risks, so they must be fully committed to the cause they are fighting for. So one can place their sacrifices in a long historical or family tradition, so one can maintain the motivation and courage that have so far proved so effective against the great Russian troops.

Ukrainian Partisan Warfare

Of course, Russia will take brutal measures. We know from history – including Russia's wars in Chechnya – that retaliation against partisans can be particularly brutal, affecting local populations more than any real or perceived rebellion. Between 1945 and 1955, the Soviets killed more than 150,000 guerrillas and sympathizers in Ukraine, according to Petrylik. Hundreds of thousands of Western Ukrainians were deported to Siberia or Central Asia, and nearly 90,000 were imprisoned. But today, the gorillas will not be alone in the forest, but will work together with Ukraine.

Ukraine War Likely To See Growing Guerrilla Warfare

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